
Who's betting on “Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 45 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $711 by 74 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 46 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 36% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 50 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
Who holds it
74 wallets hold a position worth $711 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 74 of them. The largest Yes holder is KimchiCapital, with $52 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 514 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is tradetosurvive1, with $152 on it, $217K lifetime loss over 25,230 markets (45% won).
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $135
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $576
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$135 on it
- 1KimchiCapital76% won of 514 · balanced$52+$37K lifetime
- 2shovelingdigging65% won of 1,008 · whale$30+$53K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$20+$254K lifetime
- 4buoys46% won of 1,244 · whale$5+$83K lifetime
- 5lllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll99% won of 861$5−$377 lifetime
No$576 on it
- 1tradetosurvive145% won of 25,230$152−$217K lifetime
- 2asd5655% won of 147$98−$1.0K lifetime
- 3donthackme29% won of 86,863 · noise$96+$828K lifetime
- 4neverhackme31% won of 14,830 · noise$75+$7.7K lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,066$34−$49K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in #2 Spotify Artist in October?
1 moreOther big pop culture markets
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- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?"?
74 wallets hold a position worth $711 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 74 of them. The largest Yes holder is KimchiCapital, with $52 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 514 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is tradetosurvive1, with $152 on it, $217K lifetime loss over 25,230 markets (45% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 50 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.