Who's betting on “Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.5K by 78 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 48 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 56% 30 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
Who holds it
78 wallets hold a position worth $4.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xF4c639895ca296053A7389982fde40FD3A7F194c-1775302046666, with $311 on it, $221 lifetime profit over 5 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $1.3K on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won).
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $763
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $3.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$763 on it
- 10xF4c639895ca296053A7389982fde40FD3A7F194c-1775302046666100% won of 5$311+$221 lifetime
- 2Barkshire-Hathaway73% won of 610 · whale$173+$129K lifetime
- 3aenews273% won of 1,134 · whale$113+$2.4M lifetime
- 4tradingdecs83% won of 78$58−$20K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$21+$255K lifetime
No$3.7K on it
- 1Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$1.3K−$59K lifetime
- 2nellojello54% won of 225 · balanced$514+$12K lifetime
- 3PCMTest77% won of 504 · whale$321+$13K lifetime
- 4cambridgeisaac57% won of 1,129 · whale$288+$67K lifetime
- 5predictooooooooor73% won of 204 · balanced$214+$123 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?"?
78 wallets hold a position worth $4.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xF4c639895ca296053A7389982fde40FD3A7F194c-1775302046666, with $311 on it, $221 lifetime profit over 5 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $1.3K on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.