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Who's betting on “Will "The Man That I Wave At" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?”?

Pop culture$12K traded25 holdersEnds March 15, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
5%Yes
95%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 53 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$12K
traded all time
Held now
$3.4K
by 25 wallets
Smart share · Yes
46%
15 scored holders
Smart share · No
99%
10 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 15, 2027.

The smart money

46% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points.

Who holds it

25 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 25 of them. The largest Yes holder is K00ldr4g0n, with $48 on it, $135K lifetime profit over 606 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754, with $3.1K on it, $8.7K lifetime profit over 13 markets (85% won).

Yes5%
Smart money share46%
a day ago 46%now 46%
Holders
15
Money on it
$169
Holders' win rate
34%
No95%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share99%
a day ago 99%now 99%
Holders
10
Money on it
$3.2K
Holders' win rate
84%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$169 on it

  1. 1K00ldr4g0n42% won of 606 · noise$48+$135K lifetime
  2. 2Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$28−$377K lifetime
  3. 3sldwa12% won of 295$21−$8.6K lifetime
  4. 4JesusFK2% won of 1,260$19−$15K lifetime
  5. 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$16+$255K lifetime

No$3.2K on it

  1. 10x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-179244949675485% won of 13$3.1K+$8.7K lifetime
  2. 2Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$52+$801K lifetime
  3. 3pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$31−$320K lifetime
  4. 4asdf112d46% won of 4,508 · balanced$10+$539 lifetime
  5. 5ddd1d4345% won of 4,437 · balanced$10+$582 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will "The Man That I Wave At" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

25 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 25 of them. The largest Yes holder is K00ldr4g0n, with $48 on it, $135K lifetime profit over 606 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754, with $3.1K on it, $8.7K lifetime profit over 13 markets (85% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will "The Man That I Wave At" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 15, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

46% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on March 15, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.