Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?”?

Pop culture$30K traded47 holdersEnds March 14, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
83%Yes🧠 smart money
18%No

Smart money leans Yes: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 39 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$30K
traded all time
Held now
$3.9K
by 47 wallets
Smart share · Yes
83%
25 scored holders
Smart share · No
45%
22 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 83¢ and No at 18¢, an 83% implied chance of Yes. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 14, 2027.

The smart money

83% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 52 points.

Who holds it

47 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is Sagand, with $1.3K on it, $21K lifetime profit over 62 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $152 on it, $378K lifetime loss over 54,120 markets (50% won).

Sharp money

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.3K on Yes.

Yes83%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share83%
7 days ago 89%a day ago 83%now 83%
Holders
25
Money on it
$3.5K
Holders' win rate
69%
Snipers
1 · $1.3K
No18%
Smart money share45%
7 days ago 37%a day ago 45%now 45%
Holders
22
Money on it
$455
Holders' win rate
44%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$3.5K on it

  1. 1Sagand77% won of 62 · sniper$1.3K+$21K lifetime
  2. 2golfpro202569% won of 159 · balanced$497+$53K lifetime
  3. 3wolfmoon47% won of 255 · whale$385+$8.3K lifetime
  4. 4Miwiz880% won of 1$275−$14 lifetime
  5. 5moth-man71% won of 106$217−$1.1K lifetime

No$455 on it

  1. 1Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$152−$378K lifetime
  2. 2VVKhqdMdKjEpLsDRwu39% won of 285 · noise$118+$24K lifetime
  3. 3rainbowlilies43% won of 2,665 · whale$48+$172K lifetime
  4. 40x49F20662% won of 862$35−$41K lifetime
  5. 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$32+$254K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

47 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is Sagand, with $1.3K on it, $21K lifetime profit over 62 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $152 on it, $378K lifetime loss over 54,120 markets (50% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 83¢ and No at 18¢, an 83% implied chance of Yes. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 14, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

83% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 52 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on March 14, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.