Who's betting on “Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 48 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $95K traded all time
- Held now
- $14K by 114 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 43% 54 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 92% 60 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 56¢ and No at 45¢, a 56% implied chance of Yes. $95K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
43% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 46 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.
Who holds it
114 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 114 of them. The largest Yes holder is protagonist, with $4.2K on it, $1.8K lifetime loss over 128 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is eCash, with $547 on it, $288K lifetime profit over 691 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 54
- Money on it
- $12K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$12K on it
- 1protagonist46% won of 128$4.2K−$1.8K lifetime
- 2New.Jeans49% won of 1,057 · whale$2.8K+$152K lifetime
- 3Annihilation62% won of 260 · balanced$1.5K+$6.4K lifetime
- 4rhinogiraffe54% won of 299$1.5K−$52 lifetime
- 5buoys46% won of 1,244 · whale$298+$83K lifetime
No$2.5K on it
- 1eCash68% won of 691 · whale$547+$288K lifetime
- 2Tenebrus766% won of 1,613 · whale$472+$154K lifetime
- 3UntitledUser176% won of 541 · whale$334+$1.6K lifetime
- 4rocky4201452% won of 1,103 · whale$251+$6.2K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$216+$255K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?"?
114 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 114 of them. The largest Yes holder is protagonist, with $4.2K on it, $1.8K lifetime loss over 128 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is eCash, with $547 on it, $288K lifetime profit over 691 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 56¢ and No at 45¢, a 56% implied chance of Yes. $95K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
43% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 46 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.