Who's betting on “Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 70 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $76 by 86 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 84% 73 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 15% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
84% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 70 points. A week ago, Yes by 69 points.
Who holds it
86 wallets hold a position worth $76 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is Beniboii, with $2 on it, $1.8K lifetime profit over 331 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is 0x94E50a013C65205e185fea8FC1928642C22C3822-1769818651216, with $32 on it, $26 lifetime loss over 58 markets (72% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.
- Holders
- 73
- Money on it
- $13
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $64
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$13 on it
- 1Beniboii71% won of 331 · whale$2+$1.8K lifetime
- 2MaxEnt41% won of 365 · noise$2+$816 lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$1+$28K lifetime
- 4tonycharles20% won of 176$1−$309 lifetime
- 50x0b9d…c82d100% won of 2$1+$8 lifetime
No$64 on it
- 10x94E50a013C65205e185fea8FC1928642C22C3822-176981865121672% won of 58$32−$26 lifetime
- 2Rubera81% won of 67$11−$40 lifetime
- 30xfD676e17b364F0339F0d3b3d43c1d8e985acc65f-175680084815195% won of 121$5−$33 lifetime
- 4balthazar53% won of 52,570 · whale$5+$1.2M lifetime
- 5FlashTradeOracleTester88% won of 251$5−$3.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
3 more- Dune: Messiah$132K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- The Odyssey$83K vol.Yes 85%No 15%Smart money: Yes
- Wild Horse Nine$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
86 wallets hold a position worth $76 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is Beniboii, with $2 on it, $1.8K lifetime profit over 331 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is 0x94E50a013C65205e185fea8FC1928642C22C3822-1769818651216, with $32 on it, $26 lifetime loss over 58 markets (72% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 70 points. A week ago, Yes by 69 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.