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Who's betting on “Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?”?

Pop culture$16K traded50 holdersEnds July 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
32%Yes🧠 smart money
69%No

Smart money leans Yes: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 49 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$16K
traded all time
Held now
$1.3K
by 50 wallets
Smart share · Yes
95%
32 scored holders
Smart share · No
46%
18 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.

The smart money

95% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 49 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.

Who holds it

50 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is wolfmoon, with $109 on it, $8.3K lifetime profit over 255 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is WholeFawn1278, with $279 on it, $34 lifetime profit over 101 markets (45% won).

Yes32%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share95%
7 days ago 74%a day ago 95%now 95%
Holders
32
Money on it
$619
Holders' win rate
58%
No69%
Smart money share46%
7 days ago 54%a day ago 46%now 46%
Holders
18
Money on it
$652
Holders' win rate
43%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$619 on it

  1. 1wolfmoon47% won of 255 · whale$109+$8.3K lifetime
  2. 2jimmer-fredette67% won of 290 · balanced$63+$9.5K lifetime
  3. 30xe636…0e88100% won of 5$58+$31 lifetime
  4. 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$55+$255K lifetime
  5. 520YrsOfBoredom32% won of 213 · noise$49+$15K lifetime

No$652 on it

  1. 1WholeFawn127845% won of 101 · noise$279+$34 lifetime
  2. 2mrdonaldo16% won of 203$135−$796 lifetime
  3. 3Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$64−$377K lifetime
  4. 4leectram282% won of 776$52−$644 lifetime
  5. 50x49F20662% won of 862$46−$41K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

50 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is wolfmoon, with $109 on it, $8.3K lifetime profit over 255 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is WholeFawn1278, with $279 on it, $34 lifetime profit over 101 markets (45% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

95% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 49 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.