Who's betting on “Will Meccha Chameleon win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?”?
Smart money leans No: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 58 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.1K by 39 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 40% 33 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 98% 6 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 10, 2026.
The smart money
40% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 58 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 58 points. A week ago, No by 58 points.
Who holds it
39 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is JesusFK, with $9 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 1,260 markets (2% won). The largest No holder is Hot-SkullHomelessBegger, with $1.9K on it, $16K lifetime profit over 71 markets (75% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $40 on No.
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $54
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
- Snipers
- 1 · $40
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$54 on it
- 1JesusFK2% won of 1,260$9−$15K lifetime
- 2BIsLosingMoney51% won of 215$8−$32K lifetime
- 3Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$6−$485K lifetime
- 4taemaxx63% won of 631 · whale$3+$8.6K lifetime
- 5crckr84% won of 844 · whale$3+$52K lifetime
No$2.0K on it
- 1Hot-SkullHomelessBegger75% won of 71 · balanced$1.9K+$16K lifetime
- 2FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$40+$244K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,031$20−$49K lifetime
- 4lekkerweer53% won of 277$13−$189 lifetime
- 50x8996…1d0095% won of 20$1−$19 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in The Game Awards: Best Independent Game
2 more- Mina the Hollower$14K vol.Yes 37%No 64%Smart money: Yes
- Big Walk$11K vol.Yes 35%No 65%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Meccha Chameleon win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?"?
39 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is JesusFK, with $9 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 1,260 markets (2% won). The largest No holder is Hot-SkullHomelessBegger, with $1.9K on it, $16K lifetime profit over 71 markets (75% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Meccha Chameleon win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 10, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
40% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 58 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 58 points. A week ago, No by 58 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 10, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.