Who's betting on “Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $72K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.3K by 82 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 90% 38 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 85% 44 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 57¢ and No at 43¢, a 57% implied chance of Yes. $72K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
90% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points. A week ago, Yes by 8 points.
Who holds it
82 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is shovelingdigging, with $1.4K on it, $53K lifetime profit over 1,008 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.3K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $4.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $2.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.7K on it
- 1shovelingdigging65% won of 1,008 · whale$1.4K+$53K lifetime
- 2Ross121288% won of 226 · balanced$1.3K+$8.4K lifetime
- 3buoys46% won of 1,244 · whale$720+$83K lifetime
- 4chaosj8877% won of 410 · whale$337+$22K lifetime
- 5sportguy2347% won of 72$248−$3.4K lifetime
No$2.6K on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$1.3K+$203K lifetime
- 2pengu-n24% won of 2,824 · noise$636+$11K lifetime
- 3thursdays62% won of 302 · whale$130+$10K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$129+$255K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$125−$377K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in #2 US Spotify Song 2026
1 moreOther big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?"?
82 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is shovelingdigging, with $1.4K on it, $53K lifetime profit over 1,008 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.3K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 57¢ and No at 43¢, a 57% implied chance of Yes. $72K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points. A week ago, Yes by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.