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Who's betting on “Will Guitarricadelafuente be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?”?

Pop culture$11K traded34 holdersEnds March 15, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
62%Yes
38%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 64% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$11K
traded all time
Held now
$844
by 34 wallets
Smart share · Yes
42%
19 scored holders
Smart share · No
64%
15 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 62¢ and No at 38¢, a 62% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 15, 2027.

The smart money

42% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points.

Who holds it

34 wallets hold a position worth $844 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is leectram2, with $116 on it, $644 lifetime loss over 776 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is RayGuy, with $190 on it, $5.4K lifetime profit over 22 markets (91% won).

Yes62%
Smart money share42%
Holders
19
Money on it
$523
Holders' win rate
58%
No38%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share64%
Holders
15
Money on it
$321
Holders' win rate
77%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$523 on it

  1. 1leectram282% won of 776$116−$644 lifetime
  2. 2kingnothingKC6750% won of 96 · balanced$68+$93 lifetime
  3. 3predictdogepepewif23% won of 7,402$62−$39K lifetime
  4. 40x14117f3428c9Fc84b57cF7961b5e9E5F6Dce2410-177399462734967% won of 304 · balanced$56+$547 lifetime
  5. 5Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$53−$377K lifetime

No$321 on it

  1. 1RayGuy91% won of 22 · balanced$190+$5.4K lifetime
  2. 20x49F20662% won of 862$47−$41K lifetime
  3. 30x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-178201040429563% won of 1,427$38−$647 lifetime
  4. 4pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$20−$320K lifetime
  5. 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,344$6−$217K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Guitarricadelafuente be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

34 wallets hold a position worth $844 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is leectram2, with $116 on it, $644 lifetime loss over 776 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is RayGuy, with $190 on it, $5.4K lifetime profit over 22 markets (91% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Guitarricadelafuente be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 62¢ and No at 38¢, a 62% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 15, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

42% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on March 15, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.