Who's betting on “Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.7K by 42 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 14 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 53¢ and No at 48¢, a 53% implied chance of Yes. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 12 points.
Who holds it
42 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $1.0K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is EsperanzasDESTROYER, with $830 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 204 markets (75% won).
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $2.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.1K on it
- 1ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$1.0K+$2.3M lifetime
- 2green974% won of 144 · balanced$232+$7.8K lifetime
- 3doil73% won of 406 · whale$128+$11K lifetime
- 4SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$117−$9.0K lifetime
- 50xd4b7…d64480% won of 10$115+$259 lifetime
No$1.6K on it
- 1EsperanzasDESTROYER75% won of 204 · balanced$830+$38K lifetime
- 2predictiondiablo55% won of 399 · whale$711+$42K lifetime
- 3mamofaker2494% won of 211$43−$6.3K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$43+$27K lifetime
- 5GuyFromTinder37% won of 22,344$6−$89K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
42 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $1.0K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is EsperanzasDESTROYER, with $830 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 204 markets (75% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 53¢ and No at 48¢, a 53% implied chance of Yes. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.