Who's betting on “Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?”?
Smart money leans Dune 3: 58% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $56K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.2K by 104 wallets
- Smart share · Dune 3
- 58% 64 scored holders
- Smart share · Avengers: Doomsday
- 45% 40 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Dune 3 at 2¢ and Avengers: Doomsday at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of Avengers: Doomsday. $56K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 20, 2026.
The smart money
58% of the money on Dune 3 and 45% of the money on Avengers: Doomsday is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Dune 3, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Dune 3, by 13 points. A week ago, Dune 3 by 10 points.
Who holds it
104 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 104 of them. The largest Dune 3 holder is PancraceRoyer, with $19 on it, $84K lifetime profit over 204 markets (64% won). The largest Avengers: Doomsday holder is 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276, with $1.2K on it, $39K lifetime loss over 1,184 markets (60% won).
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $95
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $4.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsDune 3$95 on it
- 1PancraceRoyer64% won of 204 · whale$19+$84K lifetime
- 2cbg33% won of 166$10−$3.9K lifetime
- 3AnnaWilliams350546% won of 200 · noise$9+$1.0K lifetime
- 4WayneWright455742% won of 191 · noise$9+$15 lifetime
- 5AntonioSoto805350% won of 200$8−$2.9K lifetime
Avengers: Doomsday$4.1K on it
- 10x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-176530957827660% won of 1,184$1.2K−$39K lifetime
- 2AnthonyDiaz282741% won of 58 · noise$1.1K+$540 lifetime
- 3Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$543+$801K lifetime
- 4ClaudeIntern67% won of 136$433−$6.5K lifetime
- 5alternate0180% won of 122$326−$6.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?"?
104 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 104 of them. The largest Dune 3 holder is PancraceRoyer, with $19 on it, $84K lifetime profit over 204 markets (64% won). The largest Avengers: Doomsday holder is 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276, with $1.2K on it, $39K lifetime loss over 1,184 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?"?
Polymarket prices Dune 3 at 2¢ and Avengers: Doomsday at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of Avengers: Doomsday. $56K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 20, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
58% of the money on Dune 3 and 45% of the money on Avengers: Doomsday is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Dune 3, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Dune 3, by 13 points. A week ago, Dune 3 by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 20, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.