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Who's betting on “Will Drake release a new album by December 31?”?

Pop culture$42K traded78 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
18%Yes
82%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 63% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$42K
traded all time
Held now
$7.1K
by 78 wallets
Smart share · Yes
57%
37 scored holders
Smart share · No
63%
41 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

57% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.

Who holds it

78 wallets hold a position worth $7.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is Smart-bettor7, with $307 on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 212 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is nonkenny90, with $1.4K on it, $80K lifetime profit over 1,453 markets (92% won).

Sharp money

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.

Yes18%
Smart money share57% ▲ 1 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 54%a day ago 56%now 57%
Holders
37
Money on it
$1.3K
Holders' win rate
65%
Snipers
1 · $0
No82%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share63%
7 days ago 63%a day ago 64%now 63%
Holders
41
Money on it
$5.8K
Holders' win rate
64%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.3K on it

  1. 1Smart-bettor783% won of 212$307−$2.4K lifetime
  2. 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$307+$203K lifetime
  3. 3Mustafalafel80% won of 271 · whale$123+$45K lifetime
  4. 4neutralwave2371% won of 30,950$111−$3.0M lifetime
  5. 5title157% won of 1,363 · whale$76+$24K lifetime

No$5.8K on it

  1. 1nonkenny9092% won of 1,453 · whale$1.4K+$80K lifetime
  2. 2shovelingdigging65% won of 1,008 · whale$1.2K+$53K lifetime
  3. 30x49F20662% won of 862$1.1K−$41K lifetime
  4. 4ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$386+$313K lifetime
  5. 50x307e…a82743% won of 334$213−$1.5K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Drake release a new album by December 31?"?

78 wallets hold a position worth $7.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is Smart-bettor7, with $307 on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 212 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is nonkenny90, with $1.4K on it, $80K lifetime profit over 1,453 markets (92% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Drake release a new album by December 31?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

57% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.