Who's betting on “Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $27K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.6K by 78 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 40 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 61¢ and No at 39¢, a 61% implied chance of Yes. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
78 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is Sagand, with $1.6K on it, $21K lifetime profit over 62 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is knrad, with $630 on it, $40K lifetime profit over 1,121 markets (62% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.6K on Yes.
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $3.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1.6K
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.7K on it
- 1Sagand77% won of 62 · sniper$1.6K+$21K lifetime
- 2regularpenguin67% won of 6$465−$785 lifetime
- 3WholeFawn127845% won of 101 · noise$463+$34 lifetime
- 4doil73% won of 406 · whale$252+$11K lifetime
- 50xe636…0e88100% won of 5$189+$31 lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 1knrad62% won of 1,121 · whale$630+$40K lifetime
- 2DerDon56% won of 1,234 · whale$544+$95K lifetime
- 3bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$202+$5.1K lifetime
- 40x39FD7f7e5d025a0C442CB89a773F314F81807D31-176349145368481% won of 244 · balanced$166+$2.5K lifetime
- 5DanRonSantis75% won of 131 · balanced$87+$1.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
78 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is Sagand, with $1.6K on it, $21K lifetime profit over 62 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is knrad, with $630 on it, $40K lifetime profit over 1,121 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 61¢ and No at 39¢, a 61% implied chance of Yes. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.