Who's betting on “Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 68% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 5 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $43K traded all time
- Held now
- $911 by 47 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 68% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 63% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
68% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
47 wallets hold a position worth $911 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is bittersahu, with $16 on it, $264 lifetime profit over 74 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $359 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $57
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $854
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$57 on it
- 1bittersahu76% won of 74 · balanced$16+$264 lifetime
- 2doug1234564% won of 25$7−$1 lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$6+$254K lifetime
- 4SarumanTheFool69% won of 29 · balanced$6+$297 lifetime
- 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$5−$485K lifetime
No$854 on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$359+$203K lifetime
- 2GUINESS12370% won of 547$231−$59K lifetime
- 30x08ef9Bb12E694e305D5E0cf1761874cE902aE466-175812791545470% won of 278$61−$492 lifetime
- 4brbrrpatapim100% won of 22$52+$10 lifetime
- 5coffeeaddicted.rn87% won of 23$49+$15 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?"?
47 wallets hold a position worth $911 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is bittersahu, with $16 on it, $264 lifetime profit over 74 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $359 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
68% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.