Who's betting on “Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.8K by 123 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 56% 73 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 92% 48 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 12, 2026 and resolved No. $19K has been traded on it.
The smart money
56% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 37 points.
Who holds it
123 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them.
- Holders
- 75
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $5.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026
2 more- Susan Athey$15K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Richard Blundell$13K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?"?
123 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?"?
This market closed on October 12, 2026 and resolved No. $19K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
56% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 37 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 12, 2026 and resolved No. $19K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.