
Who's betting on “Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 78% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 55 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.2K by 48 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 78% 24 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 22% 24 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 72¢ and No at 28¢, a 72% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
78% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 55 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 57 points.
Who holds it
48 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is legioncre, with $1.6K on it, $23K lifetime profit over 7 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is norrisfan, with $547 on it, $258K lifetime loss over 1,115 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $3.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 82%
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.0K on it
- 1legioncre100% won of 7$1.6K+$23K lifetime
- 20xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$331+$91K lifetime
- 3henriksson54% won of 59$305−$3.3K lifetime
- 4FrankyFourFingers69% won of 264$134−$7.0K lifetime
- 5QR174% won of 564 · balanced$132+$10K lifetime
No$1.2K on it
- 1norrisfan40% won of 1,115$547−$258K lifetime
- 2Mantzuraj56% won of 743$342−$3.6K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$200+$254K lifetime
- 4Zypf784% won of 339 · whale$28+$5.0K lifetime
- 5Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$18+$44K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?"?
48 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is legioncre, with $1.6K on it, $23K lifetime profit over 7 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is norrisfan, with $547 on it, $258K lifetime loss over 1,115 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 72¢ and No at 28¢, a 72% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
78% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 55 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 57 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.