Who's betting on “Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $57K traded all time
- Held now
- $17K by 171 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 64% 115 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 56 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $57K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
64% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 17 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
Who holds it
171 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 171 of them. The largest Yes holder is rewardbots, with $27 on it, $76K lifetime profit over 354 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is AlexiosV, with $3.9K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 464 markets (78% won).
- Holders
- 115
- Money on it
- $144
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 56
- Money on it
- $17K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$144 on it
- 1rewardbots58% won of 354 · whale$27+$76K lifetime
- 2outcomes42% won of 234 · noise$19+$15K lifetime
- 3troim66% won of 819 · whale$9+$90K lifetime
- 41nvoker162% won of 1,034 · whale$8+$15K lifetime
- 5always-give-up83% won of 267$7−$6.2K lifetime
No$17K on it
- 1AlexiosV78% won of 464 · whale$3.9K+$17K lifetime
- 2Quantum77785% won of 155 · balanced$1.7K+$1.4K lifetime
- 3aviato80% won of 1,340 · whale$1.4K+$201K lifetime
- 4oiboy6992% won of 24 · balanced$1.3K+$544 lifetime
- 5Specksalam82% won of 66$1.2K−$3.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?
1 moreQuestions
Who is betting on "Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?"?
171 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 171 of them. The largest Yes holder is rewardbots, with $27 on it, $76K lifetime profit over 354 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is AlexiosV, with $3.9K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 464 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $57K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
64% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 17 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.