✓ Resolved No

Who's betting on “Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?”?

$43K traded203 holdersUpdated October 16, 2026

0%Yes

100%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 62% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.

Volume: $43K
Held now: $18K
Smart share · Yes: 49%
Smart share · No: 62%

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What the money says

The odds

This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $43K has been traded on it.

The smart money

49% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.

Who holds it

203 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 201 of them.

Yes0%

Smart money share49%

7 days ago 49%a day ago 49%now 49%

Holders: 98
Money on it: $45
Holders' win rate: 59%

No100%

🧠 Smart money leans here

Smart money share62% ▲ 6 pts in 24 h

7 days ago 62%a day ago 55%now 62%

Holders: 105
Money on it: $18K
Holders' win rate: 77%

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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?"?

203 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 201 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?"?

This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $43K has been traded on it.

Which side is the smart money on?

49% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.

When does this market end?

This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $43K has been traded on it.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.