Who's betting on “Spread: Warriors (-4.5)”?
Smart money leans Suns: 65% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 36 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $25K traded all time
- Held now
- $23K by 71 wallets
- Smart share · Warriors
- 29% 38 scored holders
- Smart share · Suns
- 65% 32 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Warriors at 44¢ and Suns at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of Suns. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
29% of the money on Warriors and 65% of the money on Suns is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Suns, by 36 points.
Who holds it
71 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Warriors holder is 32555, with $3.7K on it, $29K lifetime loss over 111 markets (79% won). The largest Suns holder is HomeRunHazard, with $6.4K on it, $3.0M lifetime profit over 22,745 markets (56% won).
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $10K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsWarriors$10K on it
- 13255579% won of 111$3.7K−$29K lifetime
- 2goldmyname53% won of 300$1.6K−$4.9K lifetime
- 3SunlineTicker71% won of 1,662 · whale$1.4K+$330K lifetime
- 473963378692% won of 266$952−$123K lifetime
- 50x09f49ea10004f323A40cC1e21f4CD8759C14DAc0-177436082488187% won of 286 · grinder$719+$4.5K lifetime
Suns$13K on it
- 1HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,745 · whale$6.4K+$3.0M lifetime
- 2nigiri9946% won of 18,361$2.4K−$1.3M lifetime
- 3Multicoloured-Serf75% won of 306$1.5K−$181K lifetime
- 4pltrkr11199% won of 617 · whale$1.0K+$28K lifetime
- 5NM-P63% won of 12,185 · whale$388+$9.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Suns vs. Warriors
9 more- Suns vs. Warriors$259K vol.Suns 44%Warriors 56%Smart money: Warriors
- Spread -2.5$83K vol.Warriors 52%Suns 49%Smart money: Warriors
- O/U 227.5$59K vol.Over 50%Under 51%Smart money: Over
- O/U 226.5$28K vol.Over 52%Under 49%Smart money: Over
- Spread -3.5$15K vol.Warriors 48%Suns 53%Smart money: Warriors
- Spread -5.5$9.9K vol.Warriors 41%Suns 60%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -1.5$5.8K vol.Suns 40%Warriors 61%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -1.5$3.2K vol.Warriors 56%Suns 45%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 229.5$3.1K vol.Over 44%Under 56%Too little scored money to compare
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$39M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
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- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.8M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Warriors (-4.5)"?
71 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Warriors holder is 32555, with $3.7K on it, $29K lifetime loss over 111 markets (79% won). The largest Suns holder is HomeRunHazard, with $6.4K on it, $3.0M lifetime profit over 22,745 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Warriors (-4.5)"?
Polymarket prices Warriors at 44¢ and Suns at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of Suns. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
29% of the money on Warriors and 65% of the money on Suns is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Suns, by 36 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.