Who's betting on “Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $61K traded all time
- Held now
- $12K by 221 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 52% 125 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 81% 96 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $61K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
52% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.
Who holds it
221 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 221 of them. The largest Yes holder is littlebird, with $238 on it, $42K lifetime loss over 149 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is Parz1vaI, with $2.9K on it, $802K lifetime profit over 1,263 markets (72% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $123 on Yes.
- Holders
- 125
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $123
- Holders
- 96
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.2K on it
- 1littlebird55% won of 149$238−$42K lifetime
- 2ClownPagliacci89% won of 200 · sniper$123+$56K lifetime
- 3AlphaPengu1n34% won of 1,450 · noise$114+$5.5K lifetime
- 4bazingies67% won of 3$62+$15 lifetime
- 50x383CC45CCeb1798A27bC9B8f932cAc0B9baf325E-178648560395644% won of 144$52−$242 lifetime
No$11K on it
- 1Parz1vaI72% won of 1,263 · whale$2.9K+$802K lifetime
- 2Valen962% won of 900 · whale$1.5K+$231K lifetime
- 3agagyu90% won of 183 · whale$1.5K+$33K lifetime
- 4Bertapotamous85% won of 1,036 · whale$598+$250K lifetime
- 5TonyEsse46% won of 201$494−$4.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?"?
221 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 221 of them. The largest Yes holder is littlebird, with $238 on it, $42K lifetime loss over 149 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is Parz1vaI, with $2.9K on it, $802K lifetime profit over 1,263 markets (72% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $61K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
52% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.