Who's betting on “Is Earth flat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $63K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.0K by 144 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 69% 116 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $63K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
144 wallets hold a position worth $7.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 143 of them. The largest Yes holder is PolyJaguar, with $12 on it, $5.9K lifetime profit over 251 markets (93% won). The largest No holder is ArbitrageTaker, with $1.3K on it, $1.1K lifetime profit over 129 markets (88% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $38
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
- Holders
- 117
- Money on it
- $6.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$38 on it
- 1PolyJaguar93% won of 251 · whale$12+$5.9K lifetime
- 2Brother35779% won of 1,056 · whale$5+$48K lifetime
- 3planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$5+$132K lifetime
- 4D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$3+$85K lifetime
- 52kparabellum90% won of 154$2−$99 lifetime
No$6.9K on it
- 1ArbitrageTaker88% won of 129 · balanced$1.3K+$1.1K lifetime
- 2cryptoaxel92% won of 402 · whale$415+$41K lifetime
- 30x9A72E4332Ba79A7966b150203777481d091f0782-177239632883780% won of 5$398+$7 lifetime
- 4atai88% won of 108 · grinder$238+$1.4K lifetime
- 5marble-89130% won of 43$223−$15 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Is Earth flat?"?
144 wallets hold a position worth $7.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 143 of them. The largest Yes holder is PolyJaguar, with $12 on it, $5.9K lifetime profit over 251 markets (93% won). The largest No holder is ArbitrageTaker, with $1.3K on it, $1.1K lifetime profit over 129 markets (88% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Is Earth flat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $63K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.