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Who's betting on “Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?”?

Pop culture$16K traded47 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
14%Yes
86%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$16K
traded all time
Held now
$3.4K
by 47 wallets
Smart share · Yes
66%
31 scored holders
Smart share · No
96%
16 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

66% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.

Who holds it

47 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is DualDelta, with $170 on it, $41K lifetime profit over 208 markets (34% won). The largest No holder is h4xor, with $1.4K on it, $7.9K lifetime profit over 216 markets (67% won).

Yes14%
Smart money share66% ▲ 6 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 60%a day ago 60%now 66%
Holders
31
Money on it
$480
Holders' win rate
38%
No86%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share96%
7 days ago 99%a day ago 97%now 96%
Holders
16
Money on it
$2.9K
Holders' win rate
63%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$480 on it

  1. 1DualDelta34% won of 208 · noise$170+$41K lifetime
  2. 2rewardbots58% won of 357 · whale$63+$77K lifetime
  3. 3JesusFK2% won of 1,497$61−$16K lifetime
  4. 40x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-177846773587665% won of 284 · whale$47+$27K lifetime
  5. 5mka30% won of 20$28−$821 lifetime

No$2.9K on it

  1. 1h4xor67% won of 216 · whale$1.4K+$7.9K lifetime
  2. 2enrico-vasaio65% won of 1,070 · whale$861+$23K lifetime
  3. 3GrokEnjoyer52% won of 864 · whale$207+$20K lifetime
  4. 4bouncycrab56% won of 222 · balanced$169+$916 lifetime
  5. 5Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$73+$560 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?"?

47 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is DualDelta, with $170 on it, $41K lifetime profit over 208 markets (34% won). The largest No holder is h4xor, with $1.4K on it, $7.9K lifetime profit over 216 markets (67% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

66% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.