Who's betting on “Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $98K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 145 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 72 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 69% 73 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $98K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 7 points.
Who holds it
145 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them. The largest Yes holder is FishPoweredTrading, with $193 on it, $523 lifetime profit over 149 markets (24% won). The largest No holder is Gdub, with $3.2K on it, $301 lifetime loss over 1,014 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 72
- Money on it
- $845
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 73
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$845 on it
- 1FishPoweredTrading24% won of 149 · noise$193+$523 lifetime
- 2illumination60% won of 30 · balanced$192+$8.2K lifetime
- 3troim66% won of 819 · whale$96+$90K lifetime
- 4Aaaaaguess67% won of 162$92−$20K lifetime
- 5Joedoggno record yet$69+$0 lifetime
No$15K on it
- 1Gdub70% won of 1,014$3.2K−$301 lifetime
- 2DapperChapper66% won of 1,003 · whale$2.8K+$112K lifetime
- 3i40071% won of 714 · whale$1.7K+$84K lifetime
- 4Odysseus769% won of 756 · whale$1.2K+$1.7K lifetime
- 5yen4u94% won of 1,418 · whale$1.0K+$81K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?"?
145 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them. The largest Yes holder is FishPoweredTrading, with $193 on it, $523 lifetime profit over 149 markets (24% won). The largest No holder is Gdub, with $3.2K on it, $301 lifetime loss over 1,014 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $98K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.