Who's betting on “Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.5K by 49 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 37% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 33% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
37% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 8 points.
Who holds it
49 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x1Cd147D1dFD1f129409BDaCa9A543B217ea39c20-1730764125093, with $115 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 85 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is DuneMentat, with $361 on it, $12K lifetime loss over 841 markets (74% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $120 on No.
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $320
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 1 · $120
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$320 on it
- 10x1Cd147D1dFD1f129409BDaCa9A543B217ea39c20-173076412509354% won of 85$115−$15K lifetime
- 2Gaditima49% won of 12,107$52−$432K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,246 · noise$25+$255K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$23−$377K lifetime
- 5rocky4201752% won of 611 · whale$21+$13K lifetime
No$1.1K on it
- 1DuneMentat74% won of 841$361−$12K lifetime
- 2Annihilation62% won of 260 · balanced$159+$6.4K lifetime
- 3Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$159−$59K lifetime
- 4DREAMBIG.82% won of 295 · sniper$120+$146K lifetime
- 5Knut47% won of 245$109−$1.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
7 more- Tom Holland as Spider-Man$19K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money: No
- Brie Larson as Captain Marvel$19K vol.Yes 51%No 49%Smart money: Yes
- Mark Ruffalo as Hulk$17K vol.Yes 73%No 28%Smart money: No
- Halle Berry as Storm$15K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: No
- Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man$15K vol.Yes 92%No 8%Smart money: Yes
- Jonathan Majors as Kang$14K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
- Hugh Jackman as Wolverine$13K vol.Yes 91%No 9%Smart money: Yes
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?"?
49 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x1Cd147D1dFD1f129409BDaCa9A543B217ea39c20-1730764125093, with $115 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 85 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is DuneMentat, with $361 on it, $12K lifetime loss over 841 markets (74% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
37% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.