Probably-Likely
Up $2.3K on $36K traded, ranked #48,122 of all Polymarket traders.
- Win rate
- 78% of 73 markets
- ROI
- +6.4% profit over volume
- Volume
- $36K all time
- Open now
- $355 in 2 markets
- Sports100%
About Probably-Likely
The money
Probably-Likely is a Polymarket trader with $2.3K in lifetime profit on $36K traded. That is a return of +6.4% on every dollar they have put through the market. On Polymarket's all-time profit leaderboard they rank #48,122. Polkyo has been recording their moves since September 2026.
The record
Polkyo has scored 73 closed markets for Probably-Likely, and they came out ahead on 78% of them. Their Polkyo Score, which weighs edge, consistency, track record and profit, is 65 out of 100: a solid, proven trader.
How they trade
Their trading reads as a person's, not a bot's or a market maker's; by style Polkyo files them as "balanced"; most of their open money is in sports (100%) markets.
Right now
Right now the scanner sees Probably-Likely in 2 open markets, with $355 on the line. Their largest position is $202 on Yes in "Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-03?", which trades at 54¢. Next is $153 on Yes in "Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02?".
The last 30 days
In the last 30 days Polkyo logged 8 moves by Probably-Likely across 8 markets: $445 bought and $1.6K sold. The latest: sold out of $312 of Yes in "Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?" at 100¢.
What Probably-Likely holds right now
2 open markets · $355Latest moves
what Probably-Likely did most recently
Sold out ofWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?−$312Yes at 100¢ · 2d ago
Sold out ofWill Club Tijuana win on 2026-10-25?−$312Yes at 100¢ · 7d ago- Sold out ofWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?−$319Yes at 100¢ · 8d ago
BoughtWill PSV win on 2026-10-25?+$148Yes at 47¢ · 8d ago
BoughtWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-18?+$148Yes at 49¢ · 16d ago
BoughtWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?+$148Yes at 40¢ · 16d ago- Sold out ofWill Toulouse FC win on 2026-10-16?−$347Yes at 100¢ · 17d ago
Don't just read about Probably-Likely. Trade alongside them.
Questions about Probably-Likely
Is Probably-Likely a good Polymarket trader?
Polkyo has scored 73 closed markets for Probably-Likely, and they came out ahead on 78% of them. Their Polkyo Score, which weighs edge, consistency, track record and profit, is 65 out of 100: a solid, proven trader. In all, they are up $2.3K.
How much has Probably-Likely made on Polymarket?
Probably-Likely has made $2.3K in total on $36K traded, #48,122 on Polymarket's all-time leaderboard.
What is Probably-Likely betting on right now?
Right now the scanner sees Probably-Likely in 2 open markets, with $355 on the line. Their largest position is $202 on Yes in "Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-03?", which trades at 54¢. Next is $153 on Yes in "Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02?".
Is Probably-Likely a bot?
No. Polkyo reads their trading as a person's: not automated, not market making.
How can I follow Probably-Likely's trades?
Open Probably-Likely's page on Polkyo and press Follow: you get an alert every time they buy or sell, and every trade lands on your watchlist. You can also copy their trades with play money in paper copy trading. Both are free.
Figures from Polymarket's public data, scored by Polkyo with <2s update latency. How Polkyo works. Not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.