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Who's betting on “Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?”?

$52K traded52 holdersEnds January 1, 2028Updated October 29, 2026
11%Yes
90%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$52K
traded all time
Held now
$14K
by 52 wallets
Smart share · Yes
95%
31 scored holders
Smart share · No
98%
21 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $52K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.

The smart money

95% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago it was split.

Who holds it

52 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is AiBird, with $2.6K on it, $122K lifetime profit over 1,279 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is 0x5b91…2709, with $8.9K on it, $54K lifetime profit over 1,033 markets (76% won).

Yes11%
Smart money share95%
7 days ago 95%a day ago 94%now 95%
Holders
31
Money on it
$3.1K
Holders' win rate
57%
No90%
Smart money share98% ▲ 11 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 98%a day ago 87%now 98%
Holders
21
Money on it
$11K
Holders' win rate
74%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$3.1K on it

  1. 1AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$2.6K+$122K lifetime
  2. 2BeneGesseritVoice69% won of 1,072 · whale$105+$115K lifetime
  3. 3piyasayapici44% won of 218$72−$268 lifetime
  4. 4Bsau458% won of 396 · whale$44+$2.5K lifetime
  5. 5rss123472% won of 18$35+$307 lifetime

No$11K on it

  1. 10x5b91…270976% won of 1,033 · whale$8.9K+$54K lifetime
  2. 2Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$1.0K+$570 lifetime
  3. 3JohnP9242% won of 423 · noise$448+$17K lifetime
  4. 4bertieTL80% won of 20$113+$68 lifetime
  5. 50xf040…d11f47% won of 786$102−$1.1K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?"?

52 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is AiBird, with $2.6K on it, $122K lifetime profit over 1,279 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is 0x5b91…2709, with $8.9K on it, $54K lifetime profit over 1,033 markets (76% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $52K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

95% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.