Who's betting on “Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.4K by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 68% 21 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 67% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
The smart money
68% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $6.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is BluesRz246312, with $23 on it, $8.2K lifetime profit over 107 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is AlexiosV, with $2.7K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 464 markets (78% won).
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $89
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $6.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$89 on it
- 1BluesRz24631269% won of 107 · balanced$23+$8.2K lifetime
- 2MtnMark53% won of 101 · balanced$17+$11K lifetime
- 3kayps42% won of 78$9−$73 lifetime
- 4oleg5557% won of 14$8−$91 lifetime
- 5Bondoo717% won of 36 · noise$6+$275 lifetime
No$6.3K on it
- 1AlexiosV78% won of 464 · whale$2.7K+$17K lifetime
- 2Vaidim89% won of 19$1.2K+$141 lifetime
- 3Alegrandebig92% won of 1,242$1.1K−$12K lifetime
- 40xF2B05d854E0aF18E70B76e96534E2e7F7A04b26b-175027841330590% won of 225$986−$13K lifetime
- 5Michael528997% won of 250 · whale$77+$37K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $6.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is BluesRz246312, with $23 on it, $8.2K lifetime profit over 107 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is AlexiosV, with $2.7K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 464 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
68% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.