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Who's betting on “Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?”?

$45K traded119 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
12%Yes
89%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$45K
traded all time
Held now
$17K
by 119 wallets
Smart share · Yes
61%
66 scored holders
Smart share · No
84%
50 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

61% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.

Who holds it

119 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them. The largest Yes holder is HOD-Capital, with $388 on it, $13K lifetime profit over 4 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is melonmanm, with $2.2K on it, $56K lifetime profit over 986 markets (58% won).

Yes12%
Smart money share61%
7 days ago 62%a day ago 61%now 61%
Holders
69
Money on it
$2.0K
Holders' win rate
56%
No89%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share84% ▼ 3 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 85%a day ago 87%now 84%
Holders
50
Money on it
$15K
Holders' win rate
64%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$2.0K on it

  1. 1HOD-Capital75% won of 4$388+$13K lifetime
  2. 2MrMarket70% won of 513 · whale$223+$18K lifetime
  3. 3Kevlar-bob37% won of 83$174−$3.1K lifetime
  4. 40x8ECDd43414DE16fbac4002c4D76E21d4BF0A5512-176101420307728% won of 39$132−$942 lifetime
  5. 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$111+$27K lifetime

No$15K on it

  1. 1melonmanm58% won of 986 · whale$2.2K+$56K lifetime
  2. 2knrad62% won of 1,120 · whale$1.6K+$40K lifetime
  3. 3Eire68% won of 446$1.6K−$116K lifetime
  4. 4JPLP52% won of 1,030 · whale$1.5K+$39K lifetime
  5. 5vyemfql63% won of 239 · balanced$1.4K+$8.5K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?"?

119 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them. The largest Yes holder is HOD-Capital, with $388 on it, $13K lifetime profit over 4 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is melonmanm, with $2.2K on it, $56K lifetime profit over 986 markets (58% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

61% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.