Who's betting on “Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.2K by 62 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 51% 39 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 62¢ and No at 38¢, a 62% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 10, 2026.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
Who holds it
62 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is chunqiu, with $644 on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 74 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is TheWindKnowsmyName, with $306 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 497 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $2.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $961
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.2K on it
- 1chunqiu69% won of 74 · whale$644+$2.6K lifetime
- 20xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$624+$91K lifetime
- 3pako81% won of 383 · whale$342+$386K lifetime
- 40x49F20662% won of 862$189−$41K lifetime
- 5TBill155% won of 519 · whale$117+$86K lifetime
No$961 on it
- 1TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 497$306−$52K lifetime
- 2AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$188+$122K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$169+$254K lifetime
- 4simpleman53% won of 1,036 · whale$82+$91K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$61−$378K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Questions
Who is betting on "Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?"?
62 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is chunqiu, with $644 on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 74 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is TheWindKnowsmyName, with $306 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 497 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 62¢ and No at 38¢, a 62% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 10, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 10, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.