Who's betting on “Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 69 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.3K by 46 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 30% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 18, 2027.
The smart money
30% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 69 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 69 points. A week ago, No by 70 points.
Who holds it
46 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is thecaricature, with $36 on it, $7.9K lifetime loss over 717 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is DFK, with $2.7K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $107
- Holders' win rate
- 39%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $3.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$107 on it
- 1thecaricature44% won of 717$36−$7.9K lifetime
- 2Oklmntrader13% won of 577$18−$173K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,970 · noise$15+$28K lifetime
- 4Numitus199449% won of 15,786$12−$28K lifetime
- 5PascalPro64% won of 85 · balanced$6+$2.7K lifetime
No$3.2K on it
- 1DFK81% won of 771 · whale$2.7K+$42K lifetime
- 20x9BBD88140CcBA06100DA00476257d9cffCE56e72-177150851187252% won of 213 · balanced$272+$40K lifetime
- 3defoncetout85% won of 80 · balanced$90+$1.5K lifetime
- 4sety70% won of 223 · balanced$58+$611 lifetime
- 50x2712…eb7164% won of 201$33−$741 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
1 moreQuestions
Who is betting on "Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?"?
46 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is thecaricature, with $36 on it, $7.9K lifetime loss over 717 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is DFK, with $2.7K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 18, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
30% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 69 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 69 points. A week ago, No by 70 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 18, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.