Who's betting on “Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?”?
Smart money leans No: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $5 by 22 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 17 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 96% 5 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 17 points.
Who holds it
22 wallets hold a position worth $5 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 22 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $1 on it, $257K lifetime profit over 124,068 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is balthazar, with $0 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 53,092 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $5
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 5
- Money on it
- $1
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 124,068 · noise$1+$257K lifetime
- 2Crypto-Well78% won of 386 · whale$1+$5.4K lifetime
- 30x49F20662% won of 862$1−$41K lifetime
- 40x0Aa076ea6ec2Ea7928A1AB26a15637D61e4604A3-177435222627966% won of 493 · balanced$0+$239 lifetime
- 5hr26g2re62de62% won of 259 · whale$0+$15K lifetime
No$1 on it
- 1balthazar53% won of 53,092 · whale$0+$1.2M lifetime
- 2northdrawer27% won of 22,796 · noise$0+$75K lifetime
- 30x3E68ce62E0cb57030974B8547EE348829A7C760f-176165244604871% won of 28$0−$648 lifetime
- 4allesklar25% won of 275$0−$2.0K lifetime
- 5Anon32132132139% won of 358 · noise$0+$4.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
2 more- Goldman Sachs$16K vol.Yes 50%No 50%Smart money: No
- Morgan Stanley$10K vol.Yes 30%No 70%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?"?
22 wallets hold a position worth $5 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 22 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $1 on it, $257K lifetime profit over 124,068 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is balthazar, with $0 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 53,092 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.