Who's betting on “Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?”?
Smart money leans No: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 42 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $126K traded all time
- Held now
- $46K by 155 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 40% 98 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 57 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $126K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
40% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
Who holds it
155 wallets hold a position worth $46K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 155 of them. The largest Yes holder is taketwobruw, with $349 on it, $3.5K lifetime loss over 35 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is forinnerpsandr1x11222, with $25K on it, $89K lifetime profit over 299 markets (83% won).
- Holders
- 98
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $45K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.6K on it
- 1taketwobruw77% won of 35$349−$3.5K lifetime
- 20x36Bc985cD3C8a8485f147B3b921A0A3D9965fe88-1773382793882no record yet$197−$200 lifetime
- 3MtnMark53% won of 101 · balanced$144+$11K lifetime
- 40x9366…635055% won of 92 · balanced$92+$5.2K lifetime
- 5jerryyang8843% won of 103 · noise$92+$567 lifetime
No$45K on it
- 1forinnerpsandr1x1122283% won of 299 · whale$25K+$89K lifetime
- 20xa9f3…4bce58% won of 103$4.6K−$42K lifetime
- 3Talophex94% won of 1,060 · whale$3.4K+$43K lifetime
- 4bazooka151% won of 236 · balanced$2.5K+$1.3K lifetime
- 5pagliacci493% won of 1,557$1.6K−$14K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Questions
Who is betting on "Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?"?
155 wallets hold a position worth $46K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 155 of them. The largest Yes holder is taketwobruw, with $349 on it, $3.5K lifetime loss over 35 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is forinnerpsandr1x11222, with $25K on it, $89K lifetime profit over 299 markets (83% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $126K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
40% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.