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Who's betting on “Plague case in US by December 31?”?

$17K traded68 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026

6%Yes

95%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 38 points ahead of the other side.

Volume: $17K
Held now: $8.6K
Smart share · Yes: 56%
Smart share · No: 94%

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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

56% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 38 points. A week ago, No by 22 points.

Who holds it

68 wallets hold a position worth $8.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is lineth, with $191 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 662 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is Donny.T, with $2.5K on it, $28K lifetime profit over 851 markets (70% won).

Yes6%

Smart money share56%

7 days ago 66%a day ago 56%now 56%

Holders: 28
Money on it: $474
Holders' win rate: 53%

No95%

🧠 Smart money leans here

Smart money share94%

7 days ago 88%a day ago 94%now 94%

Holders: 40
Money on it: $8.1K
Holders' win rate: 72%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$474 on it

1lineth67% won of 662 · whale$191+$91K lifetime
20x6DdEBC81c797a021f8bD9ceAA92a010A8c50a579-176276385865425% won of 20$121−$1.4K lifetime
3wallet-account-test68% won of 214 · balanced$57+$4.2K lifetime
4yzj123no record yet$39+$0 lifetime
5rocky4200655% won of 1,355$17−$9.7K lifetime

No$8.1K on it

1Donny.T70% won of 851 · whale$2.5K+$28K lifetime
2MisTKy62% won of 1,400 · whale$1.7K+$338K lifetime
3DegenerateJanet83% won of 672 · whale$1.2K+$27K lifetime
4ran73% won of 48 · balanced$473+$14K lifetime
5willsom72% won of 237 · whale$471+$47K lifetime

Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →

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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

Questions

Who is betting on "Plague case in US by December 31?"?

68 wallets hold a position worth $8.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is lineth, with $191 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 662 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is Donny.T, with $2.5K on it, $28K lifetime profit over 851 markets (70% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Plague case in US by December 31?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

56% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 38 points. A week ago, No by 22 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.