Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “New COVID variant of concern before 2027?”?

World$247K traded126 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 16, 2026
13%Yes
87%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 66 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$247K
traded all time
Held now
$3.0K
by 126 wallets
Smart share · Yes
17%
74 scored holders
Smart share · No
83%
52 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $247K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

17% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 66 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 66 points. A week ago, No by 66 points.

Who holds it

126 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 126 of them. The largest Yes holder is BluntTruthGentleman, with $88 on it, $406 lifetime loss over 8 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is 0x34a42279AD, with $1.1K on it, $2.5K lifetime profit over 200 markets (52% won).

Yes13%
Smart money share17%
7 days ago 17%a day ago 17%now 17%
Holders
74
Money on it
$396
Holders' win rate
43%
No87%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share83%
7 days ago 83%a day ago 83%now 83%
Holders
52
Money on it
$2.6K
Holders' win rate
69%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$396 on it

  1. 1BluntTruthGentleman25% won of 8$88−$406 lifetime
  2. 2BeefDerky49% won of 72$44−$1.3K lifetime
  3. 30x707C9e009DA61452dE75b6d881B38cF9f98b31C1-1775053012543no record yet$22−$965 lifetime
  4. 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$21−$485K lifetime
  5. 5realcryptoleek41% won of 81$20+$519 lifetime

No$2.6K on it

  1. 10x34a42279AD52% won of 200 · whale$1.1K+$2.5K lifetime
  2. 2Michael528997% won of 250 · whale$418+$37K lifetime
  3. 3varch0168% won of 1,164$331−$45K lifetime
  4. 4Gaujmalietis96% won of 218 · grinder$252+$4.1K lifetime
  5. 5MarkoBardovic87% won of 83 · balanced$189+$142 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

Other big world markets

Every big world market →

Questions

Who is betting on "New COVID variant of concern before 2027?"?

126 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 126 of them. The largest Yes holder is BluntTruthGentleman, with $88 on it, $406 lifetime loss over 8 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is 0x34a42279AD, with $1.1K on it, $2.5K lifetime profit over 200 markets (52% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "New COVID variant of concern before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $247K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

17% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 66 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 66 points. A week ago, No by 66 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.