Polymarket Markets & Smart Money Odds

United StatesPoliticsUS Election

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$36,660,524 Vol.

1 of 5

Democrats Sweep$7,946,864 Vol.▼ 1%67%R Senate, D House$5,206,711 Vol.▲ 1%26%Republicans Sweep$12,040,081 Vol.8%D Senate, R House$7,781,555 Vol.<1%

+1 more outcome

Democrats SweepR Senate, D HouseRepublicans SweepD Senate, R House

$227,258,437

24h Polymarket Volume

22,428

Open Events

Snapshot running since 5:40 PM· 5,948 markets scanned· 354,727 of 354,727 wallets scored

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

chance

Yes2¢

No98¢

Smart $ on No +73 pts ✓100% scored

YesWR 64%Smart 12%

NoWR 72%Smart 85%

$18.7M Vol.01 Jan 2027

Signals →

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

1$ Yes ✓83%YesNo

214%YesNo

$3.8M Vol.2 outcomes · 4 decided hidden

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.5M Vol.4 outcomes

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$1.2M Vol.5 outcomes · 1 decided hidden

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

chance

Yes1¢

No99¢

Smart $ on No +57 pts ✓100% scored

YesWR 51%Smart 29%

NoWR 84%Smart 86%

$833.2K Vol.01 Feb 2027

Signals →

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

chance

Yes3¢

No98¢

Smart $ on No +47 pts ✓100% scored

YesWR 64%Smart 35%

NoWR 66%Smart 83%

$788.7K Vol.01 Jan 2027

Signals →

Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 18?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

chance

Yes5¢

No95¢

Smart $ on No +33 pts ✓100% scored

YesWR 54%Smart 50%

NoWR 58%Smart 83%

$351.7K Vol.01 Jan 2027

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9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

chance

Yes4¢

No96¢

Smart $ on No +71 pts ✓100% scored

YesWR 40%Smart 14%

NoWR 71%Smart 86%

$332.7K Vol.01 Feb 2027

Signals →

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Not scanned yet. Open it to scan

$315.6K Vol.01 Mar 2027

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Natural Disaster in 2026?

No clear lean100% scored

YesWR 50%Smart 35%

NoWR 71%Smart 31%

$251.2K Vol.01 Mar 2027

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Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

chance

Yes7¢

No94¢

Smart $ on Yes +57 pts100% scored

YesWR 61%Smart 88%

NoWR 72%Smart 31%

$209.4K Vol.01 Mar 2027

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How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

850%YesNo

7$ Yes23%YesNo

Greater than 819%YesNo

$200.8K Vol.3 outcomes · 3 decided hidden

When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

October 1 - 31, 202685%YesNo

No return before November 1, 202615%YesNo

$164.1K Vol.2 outcomes

When will the Danube River return to normal levels?

Does not return by November 1, 202696%YesNo

October 1 - 31, 20263%YesNo

$160.1K Vol.2 outcomes

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

chance

Yes7¢

No93¢

Smart $ on No +62 pts ✓100% scored

YesWR 52%Smart 28%

NoWR 76%Smart 89%

$147.9K Vol.01 Apr 2027

Signals →

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

chance

Yes3¢

No97¢

Smart $ on No +65 pts ✓100% scored

YesWR 58%Smart 29%

NoWR 58%Smart 94%

$142.8K Vol.01 Jan 2027

Signals →